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« Hungarian Fruit by S.K. | Main | Hungarian informers: The case of László Kiss of the Constitutional Court »

October 20, 2009

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Bob

Excellent points

About the dual citizenship: The main beneficiaries will be the Israelis, and Hungarians living in South-America.

About a third of Israelis are dual citizens already, and about 250 thousand of them are eligible for Hungarian EU passport. Probably another 100 thousand Hungarians in Brazil; Argentina etc. would apply for the EU passport.

The Hungarian far right used to warn that the “Israelis are coming”, with Orban’s proposal it might just happen…

Sandor

Let's hope so.

Odin's lost eye

Once again we see Fidesz lighting the fuse on the dynamite! They have two reasons for doing this. Firstly they are playing the Nationalist card against their political opponents and secondly to stir up trouble in the European Union. They are doing the latter to try to force the E.U. to turn a blind eye to what is to come in Hungary when Fidesz gain power.
To tell citizens of another state that they are also citizens of Hungary would have been in the past been a ‘Causus Belli’ –a cause of war-. In that Hungary claimed all Hungarian speaking peoples as their citizens would be considered to incite those people to commit acts of treachery against the state of whom they were citizens.
Anyway it is quite unnecessary. Those Hungarians living in the E.U. have the right to live and move where ever they want within the EU. I do not think that many will want to come and live in the New Hungary under the leadership of the ‘All Highest’ and his new glorious one party state! A state, which will commit far worse acts against its people, than those, which were ever committed in the communist times.

Mark

"If I judge the situation correctly, the majority of Hungarians are not thrilled at the idea of people who don't live in the country on a permanent basis being able to influence the outcome of elections."

There is a really important dimension to the way in which this has played politically that you are missing. The unpopularity of dual citizenship proposals has really been fed by anti-immigrant sentiment inside Hungary. There was - even in the Antall-Boross years - a resentment inside Hungary at the way in which the political right prioritised the interests of those living abroad: "the stupid government always pays attention to the Hungarians living beyond the borders, rather than those who live within them" was a frequent complaint I used to hear in 1993-4.

In 2001-2 the Orbán-Nastase pact surrounding the status law went down badly for similar reason. There was a fear that Hungary's labour market would be flooded to the detriment of Hungary's residents - however irrational this fear was. The Orbán-Nasatse pact contributed in no small way to FIDESZ's defeat in 2002.

This also lay behind the defeat of the 2004 dual citizenship referendum. As a Budapest resident during the campaign I got several anonymous (and I assume illegal) leaflets that told me should Orbán's referendum pass, Hungary's labour market would be flooded. It isn't just superficial impression, but the electoral geography of the 2004 bears out the role that anti-immigration sentiment played in both depressing turnout and stimulating a no vote. The highest "no" performances were in counties along the northern border where EU entry for both Hungary and Slovakia, the austerity programme in Slovakia and higher wages in Hungary had generated anti-immigration sentiment. "No" votes were also significantly higher in the eastern border counties next to Romania.

The most interesting things about the politics of this issue is that while anti-immigrant sentiment vis-a-vis those from southern Slovakia and Transylvania is strong, this cannot be publicly discussed because of the way it clashes with patriotism. Yet, it is very real, and works to undermine the political right. While this promise might not stop FIDESZ winning an election, enacting it will cause them serious political problems - given that two of their previous political disasters in 2001-2, and 2004 are related to their failure to learn from their errors, this seems to be more evidence that FIDESZ are not thinking clearly about the situation they will face post-election.

Gábor

I can't wait for the first articles published in Magyar Hírlap, Demokrata or Magyar Nemzet some time in 2011 attacking the government that applicants have to endure a long and burocratic procedure etc. :) En masse applications will create a bottleneck and contrary to the hopes fuelled by Fidesz, Jobbik and people with good will even without this turn of events the process will last longer than they expect. Not to speak of the remaining burocratic obstacles and the necessity to produce documents etc. Something similar happened in the case of Moldavia, with the additional factor of a tacit intervention from the EU in order to stop Romania granting citizenship for Moldavians after their accession. (Of course there will be passionate articles on Hungarians from Hungary declaring people with Hungarian passport Romanians, Slovaks etc. afterwards, it is not an issue of ID, but people simply cannot understand this fact...)
Otherwise I'm not convinced that it is not part of a deliberate strategy addressing the demographic changes in the short term. Kövér made references to such thoughts even in the debate before the referendum, in 2004 and although I'm convinced that a lot of Fidesz's politicians believe in their national mission, I wouldn't be surprised to learn that a part of them see this issue cynically. The more Hungarians immigrate the better and the romantic natinalists and Jobbik can organize their sorrowful tours to the slowly abandoned territories, posturing with their grief publicly, if they want.

Pistefka

"with the help of votes from Hungarians in Romania and Slovakia Fidesz will be in power for decades"

Is that because those Hungarians from over the border are all rabid nationalists, and love Orbán? A bit like those primitive folk who live outside Budapest perhaps?

Sorry to be blunt, but that does seem to be the assumption here. Another assumption is that if granted dual citizenship, someone in Marosvásárhely/Tírgu Mures would actually bother to register for and vote in elections in Hungary. I live in Budapest, and had the right to vote in the last local Euro elections, but felt it wasn't really my business (nor was I very attracted by the choice of candidates.)

Speaking to a couple of friends from Cluj, one of them didn't want dual citizenship, while the other, who is a fairly "patriotic" type said that she'd like a Hungarian passport for symbolic reasons but wouldn't bother voting in Hungarian elections. She also said that she thought really the time for dual citizenship had been and gone, back in 2004. Neither of them are very impressed with the parochial patronising and ignorant attitudes of Hungarians in Hungary to those (from) over the border.

My survey had a very small sample, admittedly! Perhaps there are some statistics about what the Hungarians minorities in neighbouring countries actually want. Or is that totally irrelevant?


If these plans are "evidence that FIDESZ are not thinking clearly about the situation they will face post-election" then aren't they also evidence that Fidesz have some principles which they will stand by, however unpopular?
Perhaps that is a hopeful sign?

I never thought I'd defend Fidesz, but having a kneejerk reaction to everything they come out with is surely just taking a leaf from their book. Their book being a cartoon book of politics, with patriotic goodies on one side and foreign baddies on the other. This issue will be hard for Fidesz to put in their cartoon, because you have patriotic-but-kind-of-foreign minorites involved.
"Does not compute! Malfunction!" as a cartoon robot might put it.

Eva S. Balogh

Pistefka: "Is that because those Hungarians from over the border are all rabid nationalists, and love Orbán? A bit like those primitive folk who live outside Budapest perhaps?"

My experience is that at least the Hungarians living in Romania, by and large, are inclined to sympathize with Fidesz and the right in general. It seems that Mikola shared this fairly common belief because otherwise he wouldn't have said what he said about the chances of Fidesz if the Hungarians living outside of Hungary could vote in national elections.

Pistefka

"My experience is that at least the Hungarians living in Romania, by and large, are inclined to sympathize with Fidesz and the right in general"

Well, I could suggest you talk to more Hungarians living in Romania, but that would be flippant. What about looking at how Hungarians in Transylvania vote?

The most popular Hungarian party in Romania, the RMDSZ (UDMR) have four seats in the Bucharest parliament and two EU parliament seats. The other Hungarian party, the "Hungarian Civic Party" (does the name sound familiar?) have no seats in parliament and one EU seat. The latter party are best buddies with Fidesz, who actively helped them campaign in the last EU election.
The RMDSZ have quite often had their differences with Fidesz, but being a wily (or perhaps, reasonable) kind of party they will make their peace with anyone if it gives them more of a voice. They supported the Socialists in 2004, for example. Not very right wing of them - more pragmatic.

Eva S. Balogh

Pistefka: "What about looking at how Hungarians in Transylvania vote? The most popular Hungarian party in Romania, the RMDSZ (UDMR) have four seats in the Bucharest parliament and two EU parliament seats."

But the RMDSZ is on the right. Romanian Hungarians simply don't have either a liberal or a socialist party.

Mark

Éva: "But the RMDSZ is on the right. Romanian Hungarians simply don't have either a liberal or a socialist party."

This isn't actually true. Even though the RMDSZ does sit with the EPP in the European Parliament, it is ideologically (in the left-right sense) pluralist. The RMDSZ is an alliance that seeks to advance the interests of Hungarians within Romania, and supports various internal platforms within its ranks. Of its internal platforms there is a Social Democratic Platform, a Christian Democratic Platform, a National Liberal and a simple Liberal circle. It can't be simple pigeonholed as being on the right.

Eva S. Balogh

Mark: "This isn't actually true. Even though the RMDSZ does sit with the EPP in the European Parliament, it is ideologically (in the left-right sense) pluralist."

You know what? I wouldn't like to find out how the Transylvanian Hungarians would vote at a Hungarian elections. I have my feeling, and my feelings, on the whole, pan out.

Mark

Éva: " I wouldn't like to find out how the Transylvanian Hungarians would vote at a Hungarian elections."

Maybe not. All I can say is that I've been visiting Transylvania since 1996, and realities there are not as they are imagined in Hungary proper, especially not by nationalists. István Mikola may think that the issuing of dual citizenship will create for FIDESZ its permanent right-wing majority (though Mikola is not famous for his good political judgement), but I suspect it will have a good many unintended consequences. I know that many Hungarians in Transylvania (and elsewhere) felt personally insulted (if not surprised) by Hungary's failure to at least make the offer of citizenship in 2004, but that doesn't make them politically homogeneous. Ethnic identities are much more pluralistic and fluid in many parts of Transylvania and southern Slovakia than one would think from listening to Hungarian discussions of what goes on beyond the borders. Furthermore, there is no automatic solidarity between Hungarians in Hungary proper, and those outside its borders.

Eva S. Balogh

Mark: "Maybe not. All I can say is that I've been visiting Transylvania since 1996, and realities there are not as they are imagined in Hungary proper, especially not by nationalists."

I just finished watching András Bánó's "A tét." The dual citizenship was one of the topics. Dávid Héjj (Századvég) brought up the usual right-wing argument that why would anyone think that all Hungarians in Romania or Slovakia would vote for Fidesz. József Debreczeni with a smile answered: "Not all, only 80%." That's what I think also.

Paul

What is the general attitude (if there is such thing) of Hungarians in Hungary towards Hungarians from Transylvania?

Mostly from hearsay I understand that it is not very favorable.
Could you tell me why? Are there economic reasons ('they will come and steal our jobs') or are there other kind of reasons?
Are they being looked-down because they come from a poorer country?
Or are Transylvanian Hungarians seen as not being 'true Hungarians' (whatever that might mean)? as being "Romanians" and I suppose that would be a bad thing?

Usually the diaspora tends to be more nationalistic than the people living in the home-country. Are Transylvanian Hungarians more nationalistic that Hungarians from Hungary? Ms Balogh seems to agree with this.

Do Hungarians from Hungary make a difference between Transylvanian Hungarians and Székelys in terms of their attitude towards these groups?

I realize that I use a broad brush, stereotypes and generalizations but public attitudes often work this way.
I would appreciate if you could 'enlighten' me on this issues.

Thank you.

I am a Romanian from Transylvania.

Eva S. Balogh

Paul "the Romanian from Transylvania." You ask so many intelligent questions that I don't even know where to start. Let's start with why Transylvanian Hungarians and Hungarians of Hungary proper don't always see eye to eye. Take a look at the German situation. Germans of the East and the West see the world very differently simply because they lived in different countries for about fifty years. Think of the Hungarian situation. Their separation is ninety years old! Second, I think that any group of people living in alien surrounding will be more nationalistic. They feel that they have to hang on to their national identity in order to distinguish themselves from the majority. Third, yes, I think that Hungarians of Hungary proper don't really want to see people coming and taking their jobs. You have no idea how often I heard people phoning into talk shows and complaining about X.Y who came from Romania and who "managed to achieve this or that." Instead of us, of course! "We have enough unemployment why do we need people from the outside?" Whether they are Hungarians or not, it really doesn't matter. So, I think it is a combination of all sorts of things but one important factor is that those who lived in a different country for that long will certainly think differently. They might be able to speak the same language but it is not enough. No longer there is a common culture.

Martin

What Hungarians vote in Romania does not necessarily predict what will happen if they vote in Hungary. For them, it is a vote without consequences: you can vote for Orbán, but you won't have to be ruled by him. This mechanism works to the advantage of populists. Populists often have high support in opinion polls, but lose this at the ballot box, because in the end voters do not want to be governed by them. In elections where there is no such price to pay, populists stand a greater chance of winning. Examples are the referenda on the European constitution in France and Holland: a "no" vote meant a vote for the status quo, i.e., the price of a "no" was marginal. The price of a "yes" was far higher: an uncertain future if the populist propaganda was true. Similarly, I'd expect people to vote populist in European elections, as many voters do not really consider the EP important, and see it as a "free" vote against the political elite.

So, I would expect something similar to be true for Transylvanians voting in Hungary. However, there is little gain to be had to show up at all. A protest vote for Jobbik or Fidesz against SzDSz and MSzP seems an unlikely motive. For Transylvanian voters, domestic Hungarian issues will hardly be relevant. Only those who are interested in Hungarian attitude to minorities abroad are likely to show up. At the moment, that would be supporters for a tougher line. My guess would be a low turn out, with a Fidesz majority.

Skilfull political campaining that proves Transylvanian Hungarians have something to lose by voting Orban (i.e., a nationalist backlash at home) could reverse this trend.

All this could be checked by opinion polls. Hopefully Szonda Ipsos will carry one out.

Mark

Éva: "Dávid Héjj (Századvég) brought up the usual right-wing argument that why would anyone think that all Hungarians in Romania or Slovakia would vote for Fidesz. József Debreczeni with a smile answered: "Not all, only 80%." "

My problem with this kind of discussion is how, really, would anyone know to be able to pass a judgement because these sorts of discussions contain normally not a single fact, nor piece of relevant evidence. What we are dealing with here is that both opinions are determined by the fact that the holders of those opinions have a self-serving political interest in expressing them. And they are determined not by the true politics of Hungarians abroad, but by the way this issue is politicized inside Hungary. We know that what Hungary sees of this issue are a few quotes from the "Hungarian politicians beyond the borders". The nationalists automatically believe that these people are their natural allies - not because of their actual political stance (in both Romania and Slovakia FIDESZ attempts to integrate these organizations have not been especially successful in either case), but because the nationalists want to believe they are allies. Likewise, liberals see them and assume - automatically - that they are crazy nationalists (which unecessarily offends many, for it is a kind of liberal racism, and many of the apolitical see, I would maintain, see lots of special pleading, and people beyond the borders who want their jobs, and some of the money they pay in taxes).

What never happens is that the discussion takes place on the basis of a proper consideration of the relationship between ethnicity and politics in either Transylvania or southern Slovakia. And the evidence of electoral behaviour is a bit more ambiguous - after all, we know, for example, from a simple examination of electoral geography that a significant number of those who who declare themselves to be Hungarian in Transylvanian vote not for any Hungarian party, but for Romanian parties like the PSDR. And again, if the RMDSZ/UMDR has a unified political line it is not irredentist, but is about securing the cultural rights of Hungarians within the framework of a multi-cultural Romania. What kind of statement is made by voting for them? Not one that automatically suggests they are all footsoldiers of FIDESZ. It seems to me that if some facts were introduced into this discussion, rather than emotion and prejudice we might get a bit further.

Eva S. Balogh

Mark: "My problem with this kind of discussion is how, really, would anyone know to be able to pass a judgement because these sorts of discussions contain normally not a single fact, nor piece of relevant evidence."

Talking about Debreczeni's remark about the Transylvanian Hungarian vote. But the problem is that your guess is as good as mine or Debreczeni's. You have only such evidence as talking with some Hungarians in Transylvania. That is no more scientific than our assessment. Maybe we are wrong but then an awful lot of political scientists are wrong in Hungary.

One more thing. I have a friend originally from Cluj who reads the local Hungarian paper and often quotes from it. This paper is supposedly liberal! Well, it sure doesn't sound like it.

Pistefka

"I have a friend originally from Cluj who reads the local Hungarian paper"

Oh, there's only one Hungarian paper in Cluj is there? Funny, I thought there were a couple.

I am with Mark on this one. Perhaps its just down to the Hungarian Transylvanians I have met (generally ones who still live there, or left recently, rather than the ones who left 20 years ago)

Pauls questions are good ones.

Do Hungarians from Hungary make a difference between Transylvanian Hungarians and Székelys in terms of their attitude towards these groups?

-I'd say no, they don't.
But in general they feel superior to both, even the ones on the right who are "fascinated by" and "sympathise with" them.

Its rather like the common attitudes you hear in Hungary about the neighbouring countries - condescending and founded on ignorance.

Incidentally Hungarians from Romania tend to be better at foreign languages than those from Hungary. The legacy of subtitling on TV and having to learn another language from an early age. That may be one of the reasons they often do well in Budapest...

Eva S. Balogh

Pistefka: ""I have a friend originally from Cluj who reads the local Hungarian paper" Oh, there's only one Hungarian paper in Cluj is there? Funny, I thought there were a couple."

He reads the liberal one!

Friend

A very interesting discussion. I believe there is another -and very relevant- reason to why people claim such huge general right-wing orientated political flavours among the Transylvanian Hungarians. That has to do with the popular image of the Transylvania as the place where real Hungarian-ess has been able to survive. I mean the idyllic sentiment that is especially found among many urban Hungarians that the rural hardships make a better man. A morally better man. This sentiment is folkloric in it's nature, and strangely enough much stronger related to Transylvania than to any of the other lost Hungarian territories.

And it is very popular in Hungary. Many urban Hungarian have rural roots, only 2-3 generations back, and many cherish a folkloric image as a way to show respect to their rural origin. It is a false sentiment. It can be an outright wrong sentiment (Albert Wass). And it has an idiom of it's own.

That sentiment is shrewdly used by Fidesz. Claiming that Transylvanians would all vote Fidesz (if they only could!) is a powerful statement. It's biggest craft lies in the connotation of a pre-communist world. It lacks the ugliness of the urban communist era, it does not have the Jewishness of it (whatever that might be). And, naturally, it lacks the implied immorality of modern economics and the global market of today.

Until they act, I take Fidesz's stand on the dual citizenship as another manoeuvre in the "claim and blame"-game their opposition seems to consist of.

nwo

It seems to me that there is probably a nationalistic element to the assumed support among the near diaspora for FIDESZ. There is also, I assume, an element of wanting to feel loved, and Orban has gone out of his way to try and make them feel so, and the MSZP has very much not done so. But forget all that. What will drive the diaspora to vote FIDESZ will be the further promise of lots of nice transfer payments for retirement, etc. Hungary still offers a much more generous levels of transfer payments than its far more sensible neighbors. This is (and the hope of an EU passport for the Serbs and Ukrainians)what all these glorious Hungarians want. Don't fool yourselves.
It is also why this will end up being a massive problem for FIDESZ domestically (by which I mean current Hungary not the fantasy of pre-Trianon Hu).

Andras M. Nagy

Very nice blog and forum...I am happy to have found this now as I am in some sort of a bind...
I am in some panic as my Hungarian passport has expired and renewing is now becoming very, VERY hard. I suspect that has nothing to do with losing my Hungarian citizenship rather than losing my access and ability to use a Hungarian passport along with my US one. I have left Budapest in 1978 and I was granted a passport and considered to be Hungarian as well is my other nationally which is my adopted home, California. I suspect, since EU forces the Hungarians to issue passports using fingerprinting records I cannot just easily renew my passport. I also think many used graft and forging techniques before so the officials made things more strict. I am not very happy about all this and going home next year to see what is what.

Citizenship

"People who acquire Hungarian citizenship without actually moving to Hungary on a permanent basis "on paper" cannot participate in Hungarian national or local elections." Well I guess, if you really love your country, you'll find time to stay to your homeland, so that you could participate on one of the most important national events, which is the election.

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