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« Fight over the Hungarian airwaves or more than that? | Main | To refresh our memories: The prime minister of Hungary (1998-2002) and Tokaj »

November 09, 2009

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Mark

"So, looking back to the history and accomplishments of these twenty years, I think it was a success of a small, sour, unloved kind that would deserve more appreciation from its beneficiaries, if only they were not so busy hating and complaining about it."

The expectations of the system change and the market were always too high. In early summer 1989, I was a UK youth representative at a gathering of European youth organized under the auspices of the Council of Europe in Denmark. This was the first time representatives from Poland and Hungary had been able to join the western Europeans at these gatherings. As I'd grown up in the Yorkshire coalfield under Margaret Thatcher, I was naturally pretty sceptical of how much benefit either country would get from the transition to the free market. And this was the basis of much debate with one of my Hungarian colleagues, who believed that the real downsides of the market were simply "Communist propaganda". His view of what the west was only considered one side of the market - the positive one; he hadn't considered the reality was a greyer one.

In contrast to that I would say that the opportunity of 1989 to create a genuinely united Europe, in the social and economic sense was missed. It wasn't just missed by western Europe and the United States, but by the first wave of post-socialist political leaders who were committed to "market utopianism" and the illusions that all they had to do was sell everything off as fast as possible, and everyone who would live happily ever after (with the incomes of Germans and Austrians to boot!)

But I still think that 1989 was a miracle. We perhaps don't remember that for much of the 1980s, it seemed highly probable that the division of Europe would be ended with the continent's effective destruction in a nuclear conflict. And given what we know about how such a conflict would have played out, probably as many as half of all Europeans - Eastern, as well as Western - would have died in the first minutes of such a conflict. That was avoided, and in large part (with the partial exception of Romania, and the bigger exception of Yugoslavia) the way in which the division was overcome underlined the strength of peaceful protest.

We forget too the importance of the early Hungarian transition (I don't want to minimise the importance of other countries, especially Poland, in driving forward the transformation). This impressed me at the time. I visited the GDR for the first time in February 1989, and felt the tension. I felt that my very presence as a western European on an East Berlin street raised huge political issues relating to the artificial situation of the city and the country. In Budapest in August 1989 I could speak to the large numbers of East German visitors in the city (at that point I spoke German, and not Hungarian) and realized from those conversations why I had felt the tension in the GDR in February. Having known why so many were in Hungary during the summer, back in the UK, I did cheer when the border opened to them in September. This link from the ordinary people of the GDR, to Budapest, back to Leipzig, then to Berlin, then Prague, was really crucial. Budapest's agreement to dismantle the physical border in May 1989 with Austria was crucial.

And I think too we haven't appreciated the role that the Hungarian government, before the democratic transition, played. In spring and summer 1989, the situation was more precarious than we often think. Hungary and Poland's "reforms" were opposed by East Berlin, Bucharest and Prague - often vociferously so. Gorbachev was prepared to support them, but the danger of revanche in the Kremlin was ever present. Hungary's role in the border opening effectively protected the transition in Budapest, by Europeanizing the process, and in so doing played a fundamental role in creating a viable "exit" option for GDR citizens, which it made it harder for the regime in East Berlin to resort to force in the face of mounting protest.

Sandor

Mark: "As I'd grown up in the Yorkshire coalfield"

Mark, I am as pleased as Punch to learn that you are from Yorkshire.
You see, I am a great admirer of your fellow landsman, Sam Small the Flying Yorkshireman. I hope you personally also keep the cult of this remarkable gent, just like I do myself.

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