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« Chinese financing of Hungarian projects and sovereign debt | Main | Happy New Year to All »

December 30, 2010

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Minusio

"Madness eerily giggles from Europe's fringes." Orbán's psychiatric defects are stunning.

John G

Unfortunately I am not surprised the President ratified the "will of Parliament". One could not expect anything less in a country where they think nothing of modifying the Constitution without a referendum. Or from a country where a law can be passed without any oversight from Parliament, a law that has so many pages it has to be delivered in sack to the Official Gazette, a law that was on the table hardly long enough to read a page or two of it before there was a vote on it. No committee vetted it. Yet this is the same country that demanded a referendum on a 300 Ft. (about $1.50) co-pay at the doctor's.

Having said all that it is quite unfair to blame everything on Orban. Had the people not wanted this sort of a government they never would have voted so massively for his Party, twice within in a few months. They cannot say they did not know what was coming. They already had a taste of it once for 4 years. They may not have been informed about the specifics of what this Party would do in government, but there were plenty of warnings and plenty of public discussions before the elections about depriving the Fidesz of a 2/3 majority. Yet vote for them they did. Even voters from the other side of the political spectrum. They already had a taste of what the voting-booth revolution would bring, yet in October they voted for them in even larger numbers. So don't blame Orban for doing what the people give him permission.

A KDMP supporter cousin of mine said not to worry after the elections. He said Fidesz is not like the Bourbons. They are exactly like the Bourbons it seems. Learn nothing, forget nothing.

It will be very interesting to see how Europe will deal with Hungary's Presidency of the EU. Will they pretend everything is hunky-dory, hold their noses and do nothing. Or will they show their dislike of the situation by little signals, such as not showing up for meetings, or changing the venues to other countries.

And I am most curious to see how Chancellor Merkel will react the next time she has to meet either Schmidt or Orban in person. Will other heads of state follow Solyom's example and refuse to shake the hands of people they do not like?

It is getting curiouser and curiouser....

An

@Minusio: Yes. And one of those psychiatric defects is wanting to "win" at any cost. The other is seeing everybody who doesn't agree with him as the enemy conspiring against him (hence the total inability to compromise).

And as he likes to be important, I am a little wary of this EU presidency, even if it's largely a protocol function. I don't think he will be satisfied with such a role, he will try to make it bigger... What kind of idiotic (and divisive) ideas he may come up for the EU? He is a master of turning people against each other and using that to his advantage. Hope Europeans won't be falling for it.

m

I suppose, at one point somebody will accuse Hungary of denying him the freedom of speech at the European Court of Human Rights. More important, discontent cannot be made invisible today. See the velvet revolution. Since then, there are even more means of opposition.

Vándorló

@ESBAlogh: "...most people considered him to be closer to Fidesz than to the socialist-liberal side..." subjective, unverifiable conjecture. Most people do not think as you and woudl say he isn't a Gyurcsány lapdog, as others are. This doesn't make him less obejctive. I've always found him refreshingly unbiased. Far more so than this blog, but you have never tried to hide your biases, nor excuse them, far from it.

Minusio

Vándorló: Why couldn't you have just left out the last sentence, at least? How do you happen to know what "most people" think, anyway?

An aunt of mine had a special way to put down people whose improper behaviour she disliked: "Look, who's crept out of the cheese!"

Minusio

John G.: The Süddeutsche Zeitung commented on the Q&A from the Hungarian Foreign Ministry: "Answers nobody needs." I might add that I have rarely read such abominable English in a text provided by any European government office.

An: Indeed a telling summary, though not even complete.

NWO

This is Europe. This is the EU. Official Government spokespersons may complain and they may threaten and serious newspapers will write more damning editorials, but in the end not one country (nor the EU) will really take a stand against Hungary's policies and leadership. Everyone will hold their breath and hope the next six months passes fast without too many problems in the EU or abroad. Then the Hungarian presidency will be over. The EU will continue on. Others will say how sad it is that Hungary is such a basket case, but nothing will change.
The only hope for change will come from the capital markets. One day Hungary will likely not be able to finance itself in the bond markets. Then there will be hell to pay (not from Governments but from private investors).

Erik the Reader

Bagoly mondja verébnek ...
You all comment on the media law, but you won't even take the time to read it.
Actually there is no such line in the law which is not present in other EU country legislation, just read the media laws of Germany: you can be fined with hundreds thousands of euro for breaking the law. And it's not only Germany...
I recommend you to read the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung piece on the Hungarian media law containing the following ideas:
Everybody criticised the law,but nobody knows Hungarian media products ranging from pornography to nazi ideas. Also supported by the constitutional court freedom of press in Hungary is much better respected then in the West.

Erik the Reader

Von Georg Paul Hefty

22. Dezember 2010

Die EU ist eine Erfindung westeuropäischer Staaten: sie haben den Geist und die Maßstäbe festgelegt, die für alle Mitglieder gelten. Das wussten alle Staaten, die im Laufe der Jahrzehnte ihre Aufnahme in die Europäische Gemeinschaft und deren Nebeneinrichtungen wie die Euro- oder die Schengenzone beantragt und nach langem Warten bewilligt bekommen haben. Es herrscht also kein Zweifel darüber, was die Länder und ihre Regierungen zu erbringen haben. Zweifel aber sind angebracht, ob die westlichen Staaten, die Nobelklasse der EU, sich immer die Mühe machen, mit den Emporkömmlingen aus dem Osten partnerschaftlich umzugehen.

Die deutsch-französische Warnung, Rumänien und Bulgarien in den Schengen-Raum aufzunehmen, mag gut begründet sein (kein Laie kann die Qualität der Vorbereitungen beurteilen), aber sie darf nicht sachlich fremde, unausgesprochene Ziele verfolgen. Das verträgt eine Partnerschaft nicht.

Über Nacht in eine ähnliche Lage wie Bulgarien und Rumänien ist Ungarn geraten, seit es seine Medienordnung umgestaltet. Noch bevor das Gesetz ein einziges Mal angewendet wurde, sind sich die Warner aus dem Westen einig, dass die Pressefreiheit ausgehebelt worden sei. Dabei kennt keiner von ihnen die ungarischen Medienerzeugnisse in deren unsäglicher Bandbreite von Antisemitismus bis Pornografie.
Orbán schlägt die Verachtung ganz Westeuropas entgegen

Ministerpräsident Orbán mit seiner Zweidrittelmehrheit wäre von Sinnen, wenn er an den seriösen Rundfunksendern und Zeitungen ein Exempel seiner Macht statuieren wollte, statt dort einzugreifen, wohin der Blick von Asselborn und Merkel hoffentlich noch nie gefallen ist. Ungarns Verfassungsgericht hat unter seinem damaligen Präsidenten Sólyom die Meinungsfreiheit höher bewertet als im Westen üblich. Viele Spinner und Geschäftemacher haben das absichtlich und hemmungslos missverstanden.

Über Jahre haben sich angesehene ungarische Intellektuelle wie der Nobelpreisträger Kertész im Lande wie im Westen darüber beklagt, welche Ungeheuerlichkeiten in Ungarn publiziert werden könnten. Und jetzt soll es verwerflich sein, dagegen gesetzliche Mittel aufzubauen? Gerade wer im Westen Orbán für einen gerissenen Politiker hält, dem alles zuzutrauen sei, sollte ihm soviel politischen Verstand zubilligen, dass er sich nicht mit seiner Partei in seinem Zehn-Millionen-Land isolieren will, während ihm die Verachtung ganz Westeuropas entgegenschlägt.

Vándorló

@Minusio: "How do you happen to know what "most people" think, anyway?"

Many thanks for underlining my point, through your misunderstanding of it.

Obviously, without objective data I would clearly mark an unfounded supposition as such, namely as my opinion. Rather than invent a horde of other people through a rhetorical device in an attempt to make when I then state take on the veneer of objectivity e.g. 'as everyone knows', 'the vast majority of people believe', 'only a fool would argue', 'most people understand that...'

Do you understand the point I am making now and understand that I did not attempt to portray my opinion as anything but that: "I've always found him refreshingly unbiased."

When I stated: "Most people do not think as you and would say he isn't a Gyurcsány lapdog, as others are." There are two statements I need to explain in support.

The first that most people do not think as ESBalogh does. In this context, specifically relating to political bias of Török Gábor and nothing more. I think, if one were to read his blog and watch his many TV presentations over the years one would be hard pushed to find evidence of the one sided bias ESBalogh has claimed. More than that, ESBalogh supports a party with 11% of the mandate and a former leader who is still roundly hated and comes bottom of each successive poll.

On the second part of my statement: "he isn't a Gyurcsány lapdog, as others are" this is clearly a reference to ESBalogh and her unashamedly one sided portrayal of Gyurcsány and all his works. More than that, her clear, unequivocal support of MSZP even now. When they are involved in the illegal expropriation of radio contracts that leads to the elevation of Szalai Annamária to her current position, knocking out the decent and honest former head. She gained her current important role when the then head of ORTT refused to sign the illegal contracts under the rádiógate scandal. So let's not forget who re-created Orbán from the ashes of his two defeats.

And when people who are clearly, unequivocally biased start berating those those aren't, they should at least have the decency to mark their personal, subjective opinions as such.

Eva S. Balogh

NWO: "The only hope for change will come from the capital markets. One day Hungary will likely not be able to finance itself in the bond markets."

I can only agree. Moreover, I'm sure that the time will come. I simply cannot understand Orbán. Matolcsy proved between 2000 and 2002 that he knows nothing about economics. The great indebtedness started during his tenure as economics minister. Why did Orbán pick him again is a mystery.

Joseph Simon

This Blog is extremely biased. Consider the characterization of Schmitt Pál. The Governor General in Canada for example signs everything that the Parliament requests. Once the Parliament itself was 'prorogued', abolished in fact, at the governing party's request, in order to avoid a vote of non-confidence. No one called the GG a puppet.
Also, the focus of this Blog is very narrow. As I wrote before, Hungary's problems go well beyond Gyurcsány or Orbán. Just look at Ózd or Diósgyőr, 'hazánk ipari fellegvára' under Kádár. Think of North Korea, a wasteland when you look at the dreary, barren industrial districts, a legacy of decades of socialism. A tall order for any politician.

Eva S. Balogh

Vandorlo: "I've always found him refreshingly unbiased. Far more so than this blog, but you have never tried to hide your biases, nor excuse them, far from it."

One should express his or her own opinions in a blog that is supposed to reflect the writer's views of the world. If someone desperately tries to be "balanced" he/she becomes neither fish nor fowl. That happened to Török with whom, by the way, I am on good terms. He didn't dare to say anything and at the end indeed he said nothing. "On the one hand, on the other hand, on the third hand!" There are times when one must raise his/her voice. This is unfortunately one of those times and it seems that Török at least he realized that.

kormos

Re; “This Blog is extremely biased.”
Yes it is. I do not want to defend this blog; however it is Ms. Balogh’s prerogative to write anything she wants in her blog. Only a few bloggers have truly identified themselves here. I respect that!! I must admit, I am not one of them.
I view this blog as an opposition tool. FIDESZ observers should analyze the message, take the usable part, learn from it and apply it.
Unfortunately character assassination and mudslinging has become the everyday norm of politics. It is a bit muted in some countries, fortified in others.
While saying good-by to 2010, I wish the best to my old Country, I wish less hardship to the People of Hungary, and I wish a successful EU presidency.
Also, I wish Happy New Year, good health and all the best for Ms. Balogh and other (liked or disliked) bloggers.
Hajrá Magyarország, Hajrá Magyarok!!

Eva S. Balogh

Erik the Reader: "I recommend you to read the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung piece on the Hungarian media law containing the following ideas"

The FAZ is a conservative paper and therefore their views reflect a conservative ideology. It isn't balanced. Indeed. Just as the Süddeutche Zeitung isn't balanced either. No one is measuring on a precision scale--as the Hungarian law prescribes--whether something is balanced or not. Erik the Reader finds FAZ balanced. I don't. Who will decide? The Hungarian Media Authorities' narrow-minded ideologically committed members?

If you don't like my biases, go somewhere else and read a blog that reflects more your own world views. This is that simple.

As for the first decisions of the Authority, I predict that its members and Annamária Szalai will make themselves the laughing stocks of the world.

Odin's Lost Eye

Mr Simon How little you know about the Governor General’s position or the powers which he/she endowed with by being in the place of the Queen of Canada.

During the passage of any Bill the G.G. is consulting with the government, the opposition, those who may be affected by it and the judiciary. The G.G. is also very well aware of the various strands of public opinion in the country. G.G. (just as the Queen has) has the right to warn the government about ‘Oh nastys’ in the Bill.

The G.G has the right to give the government advice and can and will act as an honest broker to arrive at a compromise for the benefit of all.

This is always done ‘under the RADAR’ and in the strictest confidence so no one ‘gets hurt’.

The G.G can say ‘Yes’ to the Bill and make it an Act. The G.G can delay implementation of the Bill by saying more time is needed to study it. The G.G can say outright that ‘The Queen does not advise this’- meaning take it back and think again-. In the end the when ‘push’ comes to ‘shove’ G.G can precipitate a constitutional crisis which eventually be resolved by a new General Election.

The G.G. will generally act (like the Queen would do) in such a way as to encourage the discussion to continue.

Kormos

@ Odin
How did you measure Simon's knowledge about the role of he Canadian G.G? By the way Joe is a Canadian Hungarian.
He said that the G.G. was not called a puppet, just because she had not followed the wish of opposition parties at the time.
What Joe wrote is correct. I can hardly wait for the big cry which is going to follow the new Constitution, that will give the tools to the Hungarian Head of State to "precipitate a constitutional crisis which eventually be resolved by a new General Election."
To my knowledge, this final tool(practically an emergency brake) was never used in Canada.

John G

Thank you Odin's Lost Eye for pointing out the Canadian G.G.'s constitutional role. One should also add that before the G.G. actually gets to see a piece of legislation it has been vetted by at least one committee of Parliament, had 3, (yes 3!) readings in the House of Commons and then sent on to the Senate, where it goes through the same procedure. The Senate has the right to send back to the Commons any law it does not like, except laws concerning the Budget, though they still get to have 3 readings on it as well. For readings please note they are public debates, recorded in Handsard for all to read who said what. It is only after a Bill has been through this process before the G.G. gets to see it. As anyone can see it, in Canada for the G.G NOT to sign a bill would obviously create a constitutional crisis, pitting the Queen against her citizens (yes Canadians are citizens and not subjects) Her Majesty Elisabeth, Queen of Canada!!! not of Great Britain.

Now compare that process with that what has been happening in Hungary. To avoid committee scrutiny, and cause much public debate,the Fidesz government proposes laws via Private Members' bills which by Hungarian law does not require the committee process. So it is possible for a bill after a single "reading" to be voted on and then passed on to the President for his signature. Short and sweet. That is why the President's veto or supervisory position is so important in Hungary, and that is why Mr. Schmidt was installed as President by the Fidesz.

That a constitutional amendment can pass with a similarly cavalier attitude to it's content boggles the mind of any thinking person. That a President would sign such a Bill into law without further consultation or decree a referendum on ANY constitutional amendments puts the role of Parliament into the realm of a joke.

someone

Erik: "You all comment on the media law, but you won't even take the time to read it."
Guess what? I did read it, so what does that make you sir? How about you? Did you read it?

Vándorló, I think you should hold your horses. You are accusing others with bias while yourself get into throwing mud around. A Blog is Blog. It is personal opinion, and if the personal opinion bias, so be it, if it is "independent" so be it. If you do not like to read what someone writes, then do not read it. Lucky for us, this blog is not under the new media law, so Eva can say her opposing and bias opinion without loosing her life savings. I am not sure if it will be the same for blogs in Hungary.

Eva, and All Free Bloggers: Happy New Year!

They came first for the Communists,
and I didn't speak up because I wasn't a Communist.

Then they came for the trade unionists,
and I didn't speak up because I wasn't a trade unionist.

Then they came for the Jews,
and I didn't speak up because I wasn't a Jew.

Then they came for me
and by that time no one was left to speak up.
(Martin Niemöller)

Eva S. Balogh

Hungarian president and the governor general of Canada. You can't compare the two positions. The GG is the representatives of the Queen and the Queen of England doesn't have really a political role to play. She signs everything they put in front of her, including her speech at the opening of the parliament.

The president of the Hungary has an entirely different role to play. His competence is limited but he is supposed to be not the representative of the government but the embodiment of the whole nation. In addition he is supposed to scrutinize the proposed bills before he signs them. If anyone interested in comparing the activities of past presidents to those of Schmitt one can go to Török's blog: http://torokgaborelemez.blog.hu/

As for the position of the Hungarian president, go to the Hungarian constitution

http://www.lectlaw.com/files/int05.htm

John G

ESB: Thank you for your link re: the President of Hungary.

As this is not the forum for it I will not argue with you regarding the role of the Canadian G.G . Just to point out to you that the Queen of England has nothing to do with Canada, except that the same person happens to be both Queen of England and Queen of Canada. Should England become a Republic Elisabeth would still remain Queen of Canada. She was elected to that position by an act of Parliament upon the death of her father. The Canadian Parliament could have voted for any other person to that position, it is NOT inherited in theory. As a Canadian I am rather touchy on that subject :-)

My point was not so much the comparison of the two position but rather the path a bill took before either Head of State got to see the Bill placed before them.

The Canadian system may be slow and tedious but at least it minimizes the possibility of passage of laws that are questionable. In times of crisis that process can be speeded up but only by general consensus of Parliament as a WHOLE.

One more point: in a Parliamentary Monarchy, such as Canada, the power of the Monarch is not powers he/she has but the power the position withholds from others.

BTW In any political situation in Hungary I first turn to the blog of Mr. Török, to see which way the wind blows. He seems to have a better ear on the ground than most. And he also has the best feel for how the people in general think. But most of all he avoids ad hominem insults and street language which seems to be the stock in trade of almost every blogger in Hungary.

John G

BUÉK!!

Tyúk kaparja be az évet, malac túrja szerencsédet,
a gázórád lassan járjon, a patikus hiába várjon,
ne költs sokat hálapénzre, ki optimista jobban bírja!

I realy like the last line:

The optimist survives best (very rough translation )


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