Jobbik had quite a day yesterday. The party held a large indoor gathering, setting the stage for a new year of political activity. Gábor Vona, the chairman of the party, made a speech. I don't know how many foreign papers will cover it, but I believe it was a noteworthy speech that warrants an audience beyond the borders of Hungary. The message was: "We are not communists, we are not fascists, we are not national socialists, but we are not democrats either." Clear talk, no beating around the bush.
Well, one could say that this is not all that new, but I don't think that until now any Jobbik politician had been so plain speaking as the party chairman was yesterday. Vona outlined where the party's "intellectual center" is not, though where it is is far from clear. According to Vona, this center has nothing to do with the power of class or the power of the state. It has nothing to do with race or "with money and intellectual capital." By this point I was lost in the labyrinth of Vona's ruminations.
As for the future, according to Vona the worldwide economic crisis is "the crisis of liberal democracies" and it is linked to an avoidable armed conflict in the next decade or so. From the context it seems that Vona is thinking in terms of a conflict that will take place in Europe because "Jobbik has the duty to assist the Hungarians in developing their self-defense and their capacity for survival." To be prepared for this conflict he and his party will "fight tooth and nail against the materialistic and ultraliberal forces and will forbid any deviation and opportunistic deals with the enemy."
Vona's further message was that "our politicians must understand that they are not supposed to seek compromises; their duty is to fight, fight, and fight." They "are not going to make peace with this regime that is against the nation, against men, and against God." It is not quite clear which regime Vona is talking about. The present Hungarian government or the western democracies.
Jobbik's duty is to prepare the Hungarian society for this new world. Vona's conclusion is that Jobbik's politics in the last few years has been successful because "the [Orbán] government incorporated many of Jobbik's suggestions into its own program.... The spirit of Jobbik is capable of moving the government even with its two-thirds majority in the right direction." As an example, he talked about the Peace March whose participants demonstrated under the banner "We will not be a colony" which was, after all, Jobbik's slogan.
The message is crystal clear
The speech was delivered before a large audience made up mostly of young people, and thus Vona had an opportunity to bring up the average age of the Fidesz demonstrators a week ago, which bordered on the geriatric. He criticized the Orbán government's economic policies as well as its failed "economic war of independence."
Vona then vented his anti-European Union feelings which, as I mentioned yesterday, are not shared by all of his followers. He didn't advocate outright secession but suggested holding a referendum on the question. Even though only a few days ago it was reported that Hungary received five times more money from Brussels than she paid into the common coffers, Vona insisted that "it is only on paper that we receive more money than we pay in." How? Hungary loses on the free movement of capital and labor and the lack of custom duties.
"Hungary is not only an economic colony but by now a political one as well. Hungary has as much independence as a state within the United States of America." The longer the country remains in the Union the more capital will be syphoned off by foreigners. In the end it will not be able to leave the Union because it will be too weak to stand on its own two feet. Instead of the European Union, Hungary should seek its fortune in the East. Vona's latest idea is an orientation toward Turkey and Russia. A pro-Russian stance is curious considering Jobbik's wide ranging anti-communist rhetoric.
Vona, whose speech lasted an hour and a half and apparently was very well received, finished his talk with a review of the current Hungarian political scene. He sems to have spent the most time on Ferenc Gyurcsány whom he labeled as "unscrupulous, power hungry, cynical, a liar, a traitor, and not really normal." In MSZP "members of the retro-squad fight with the Kádár-Jugend while the LMP will soon dissolve in the slough from which it came."
What does Vona think of Viktor Orbán? Not much at least on the surface since, according to him, "the Gyurcsány and the Orbán governments by different means together brought ruin to Hungary."
This speech provided Fidesz with a wonderful opportunity to express its condemnation of Jobbik. Gabriella Selmeczi emphasized that "Jobbik openly wrote itself off from Hungarian democracy." She added that it is absolutely clear that "only Fidesz is capable in the spirit of national cooperation to show the way out of Hungary's difficult situation." Naturally, she didn't add that Fidesz demonstrators also said something very similar to what Vona had to say: Hungary will not be a colony.

One point that never seems to be raised is the fact that Jobbik appeared almost out of nowhere. We talk about them as if they were an accepted (and permanent) part of Hungarian politics, and yet they didn't exist as a parliamentary party just two years ago. They were formed only in 2003 and in 2006, even in alliance with MIÉP, they polled only 2.2% of the votes.
So, how did such a new and insignificant party grow so quickly? Previous far-right parties have burned briefly and not very brightly, but Jobbik appears almost from nowhere, gains a significant number of MPs, and to many now appears to be an accepted, 'mainstream' party.
My answer is not original - Orbán. In order to foster his own party's chances, he created an environment where nationalism, jingoism, racism, even fascism were not only permitted, but actively encouraged. It was not only OK to speak openly about things that previously were only muttered in private, but it actually became 'normal' to have and to promote those ideas.
Fidesz gained a great deal from this opening of Pandora's box, but it also gave Jobbik a huge boost. As Wikipedia puts it: “Jobbik was perfectly positioned to capitalize on the mainstream growth in nationalist sentiment associated with the 2006 protests in Hungary. After October 2006 it felt confirmed in the belief that the events of 1989 had essentially been a sham, because “Communists” were still in charge. Subsequent events permitted the party to consolidate its growth.”
And therein lies the answer to the oft asked question, "where does Fidesz stop and Jobbik begin?". The answer is that there is no line between the two, in fact there is not even an overlap - what we have here is a continuum, with right-of-centre conservatism at one end and a modern day Arrow Cross at the other.
The reason why it's impossible to draw a line between Fidesz and Jobbik is that they are not really two parties - Jobbik is effectively the right-wing of Fidesz. Both were created by Orbán - a right-wing, nationalistic, autocratic 'main' party, and a loony right secondary 'party'. One to govern, the other to act as opposition and to ensure that, no matter what Fidesz do, they will always look reasonable compared to Jobbik's rantings.
So far, still not so original, but the really worrying point of this analysis is that, looked at in this way, Orbán didn't gain just under 53% of the Hungarian vote in 2010, he effectively polled nearly 70%.
This is not just the size of the 'revolution' Orbán created (and therefore the size of the problem we have to overcome), but, much more disturbingly, this is how more than two thirds of Hungarian voters really think, given freedom and encouragement to express their opinions.
Orbán may not be supported by most Hungarians any more, mainly for financial reasons, but he still speaks for the vast majority of them – even if sometimes he has to let Vona speak on his behalf.
Posted by: Paul (the original one!) | January 29, 2012 at 06:25 PM
By the way, there was an excellent article in the Guardian yesterday on the Roma in Hungary, and especially the behaviour of Jobbik:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jan/27/hungary-roma-living-in-fear?INTCMP=SRCH
Posted by: Paul (the original one!) | January 29, 2012 at 07:14 PM
And more on Jobbik at the Contrarian Hungarian blog: http://thecontrarianhungarian.wordpress.com/2012/01/29/hungarian-guards-judicial-victory-jobbik-chairman-considers-armed-conflict-unavoidable/
Posted by: Paul (the original one!) | January 29, 2012 at 07:36 PM
"A pro-Russian stance is curious considering Jobbik's wide ranging anti-communist rhetoric."
Come on Eva, don't play the naiva, I'd be pretty surprised if you haven't heard about the reports on the Russian undercover foreign policy in Eastern Europe.
Most of the hard right parties receive enormous financial support from the Kremlin from Bulgaria through Hungary to the Czech Republic. I'll try to look up the article that explains it much better than how I could, I think the intel comes from one of the wikileaks cables, but I don't remember exactly. Point is, this is not a conspiracy theory, but the CIAs strong suspicion.
Posted by: Jano | January 29, 2012 at 10:03 PM
It seems that Jano is right. I found this article from 2009.
http://www.riskandforecast.com/post/bulgaria/russia-s-far-right-friends_349.html
Posted by: Ron | January 29, 2012 at 10:30 PM
What happened to the Jobbik-Iran axis?
The Russian intentions are clear on this. Destabilizing Eastern Europe, turn them against the western allies. The Jobbik would be perfect. But the Russian bear will not be popular with the voters. I don't think they will like it. They will so not like it that this could actually be a perfect disinformation to discredit the Jobbik.
Iran seems more logical. A country working on nukes to wipe out Israel. Jobbik voters will like that.
Posted by: Mutt Damon | January 29, 2012 at 11:20 PM
I have known about this for some time. It refers to Hungary and it reads: -
“Personnel not included in the Hungarian Army or Air Force shall not receive any form of military training or military air training as defined in Annex II.”.
And Annex II says
“DEFINITION OF MILITARY AND MILITARY AIR TRAINING
1. Military training is defined as: the study of and practice in the use of war material specially designed or adapted for army purposes, and training devices relative thereto; the study and carrying out of all drill or movements which teach or practice evolutions performed by fighting forces in battle; and the organised study of tactics, strategy and staff work.
2. Military air training is defined as: the study of and practice in the use of war material specially designed or adapted for air force purposes, and training devices relative thereto; the study and practice of all specialised evolutions, including formation flying, performed by aircraft in the accomplishment of an air force mission; and the organised study of air tactics, strategy and staff work.”
Mr Vona do you or any of your twerps know anything about this? Do you know where it comes from? Your 'Rancid Right' aint allowed to play at soldiers
Posted by: Odin's Lost Eye | January 29, 2012 at 11:57 PM
Odin's Lost Eye is absolutely right to focus on the law. Even under Fidesz's constitution, the state must insist upon a monopoly on the use of violence. The government may now be under the mistaken belief that Jobbik's "Guards" playing soldier are harmless, but the potential for danger to the state, in the form of civil war or anarchy (think of the partisan militia in Lebanon or Somalia), is real and — not least for any real conservative and Hungarian patriot — the government's negligence here is rather unbelieveable.
Posted by: GW | January 30, 2012 at 01:28 AM
Ah! GW there may be a problem here as the New Constitution may not recognise it as it refers to something which happened in the year 1947. It is Article 14 of the Treaty of Paris 1947. This was signed by Hungary and bought peace for her from the United Nations (even with the Romanians).
If Fidesz do not know this and abrogate any part of this treaty, then any of the signatories (or their successors nations) -including Slovakia- could say that they are ‘back at war’ with Hungary!
Hum Ho!
Posted by: Odin's Lost Eye | January 30, 2012 at 01:47 AM
@"government's negligence here is rather unbelievable"...let's try to leave western naiveté behind: we're dealing with the Balkan mind here--Jobbik is a creation of Fidesz and does their bidding. Now, 'brown shirts'....there's a comparison!
Posted by: peter stark | January 30, 2012 at 01:52 AM
@ Paul, the answer to where FIDESZ ends and JOBBIK begins would be in an election result that forced Orban to seek a coalition.
Posted by: I love Hungary | January 30, 2012 at 02:08 AM
Oh and btw. that woman holding the FeeeCK EU sign is Keith Richard's mom.
Posted by: I love Hungary | January 30, 2012 at 02:13 AM
Just out of interest have a look at http://thecontrarianhungarian.wordpress.com/.
It shows just how ignorant people can become. Look at the judgement and these folk are appeal judges!
Posted by: Odin's Lost Eye | January 30, 2012 at 02:25 AM
"We're not democrats.."
Of course, this is a politically impossible statement by a party leader. So, what's going on? Let's put out a surmise: Fidesz was losing support to Jobbik. To shear Jobbik of right wing support and keep it only to the lunatic fringe, Vona comes out with his statement. In one fell swoop, Fidesz is strengthened and is reestablished as the only viable alternative to keeping the rabid Jobbik out of power! Neat. I'll leave my fellow bloggers to guess who is orchestrating the whole affair....
Posted by: riviera1 | January 30, 2012 at 04:03 AM
If anyone else is interested I think this may be of concern to Jobbik: -
Article 4 (of the same treaty viz Paris 1947). It reads
“Hungary, which in accordance with the Armistice Agreement has taken measures for dissolving all organisations of a Fascist type on Hungarian territory, whether political, military or para-military, as well as other organisations conducting propaganda, including revisionist propaganda, hostile to the United Nations, shall not permit in future the existence and activities of organisations of that nature which have as their aim denial to the people of their democratic rights”.
The real ‘punch line is the last part “(Hungary) shall not permit in future the existence and activities of organisations of that nature which have as their aim denial to the people of their democratic rights”.
In this Hungary in the form of BOTH MZsP and Fidesz have dropped another clanger.
Fidesz must now take action with Vona’s quotation as reported by our good Hostess ** “We are not communists, we are not fascists, we are not national socialists, but we are not democrats either." **.
My My perhaps Fidesz also into that catagory too.
Posted by: Odin's Lost Eye | January 30, 2012 at 04:46 AM
"A pro-Russian stance is curious considering Jobbik's wide ranging anti-communist rhetoric."
And a pro-Turkish stance is very funny giving the blathering about God and Christianity by the deeply un-Christian Vona and friends. Plus of course the subjugation of Hungary for a couple of hundred years. How all this fits together, is anyone's guess, but it indicates the scrambled-egg composition of Jobbik on issues apart from dog-whistle hatred.
Actually there is a sensible argument for a closer alignment with Turkey, as Turkey needs supporters in the EU, and potential export markets. But who believes any Hungarian politician... on any subject, not least canny Turkish politicians and diplomats?
Posted by: whoever | January 30, 2012 at 04:59 AM
whoever: "And a pro-Turkish stance is very funny giving the blathering about God and Christianity by the deeply un-Christian Vona and friends."
I was also baffled.
Posted by: Eva S. Balogh | January 30, 2012 at 05:05 AM
Of course Jobbik are 'Christian', however, the pro-Turkish stance might make sense within the context of their pro-Palestinian line (Morvai is probably the most vocal on this).
One thing that distinguishes Jobbik from many of their colleagues in western Europe is their preference for antisemitism and anti-Zionism over the anti-Muslim rhetoric pumped out by e.g. the English Defence League, or Geert Wilders's PVV, which wouldn't win votes in Hungary.
Posted by: GJ | January 30, 2012 at 05:39 AM
A number of the far-right believe in some great Turanian language family/group of people which includes the Hungarians. The Turanian language family includes Turks, and so Turks are seen as cousins.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hungarian_Turanism
I can't find the quote, but I think Schmitt made remarks indicating his belief in the shared kinship of Hungarians and Turkmen on his tour to Central Asian dictatorships.
The same people believe the Finno-Ugric language family was some kind of linguistic conspiracy to demean the Hungarian nation.
Posted by: Dubious | January 30, 2012 at 05:52 AM
"I Love Hungary" - It's not - It's Mick Jagger's. Don't be so juvenile!
Posted by: CharlieH | January 30, 2012 at 09:09 AM
At least Vona is not lying like MSZP.
Neither are democrats, but MSZP is lying about it.
Posted by: Johnny Boy | January 30, 2012 at 09:13 AM
Johnny's back! The Fidesz wobble must be over.
Posted by: Paul (the original one!) | January 30, 2012 at 11:12 AM
There was am article on index.hu today about JOBBIK. The title is "Very young, very Hungarian, in a very bad mood". Apparently the JOBBIK is big on Facebook. 3 times of their party membership "liked" them (38,900). On Facebook if you want to see the wall posts you have to "like" them. It's like "liking" the devil to have a heads up on doomsday.
They referenced an English language study "Populism in Europe: Hungary:
http://www.box.com/s/j1qsca1lsdep8jrlbakl
Posted by: Mutt Damon | January 30, 2012 at 12:47 PM
Odin, I like the reference to the Peace Treaty of 1947 but who should establish that Hungary violates this treaty? The UN? And has this treaty not lost a bit of its impact with Hungary joining NATO?
Jobbik's: "We are no democrats." I congratulate Jobbik to this clearness of vision. It would be good if others were also able to evaluate to what extent they consider democracy a desirable political system and to what extent they dislike key elements of it (systematic possibility to change leadership, periodical elections, participation, free speech, respect for own and other people's rights etc.). I do not mind at all that Jobbik stated clearly what they stand for, but the society should take this very seriously and in particular the growing support for Jobbik.
The pro-Turkish stance of Jobbik, motivated mainly by the critical position towards Israel, is too revealing. So Hungarianness in Jobbik's interpretation is nothing more than antisemitism...?
Posted by: Kirsten | January 30, 2012 at 03:31 PM
"Of course Jobbik are 'Christian', however, the pro-Turkish stance might make sense within the context of their pro-Palestinian line (Morvai is probably the most vocal on this)."
Traditionally on the nationalist right "Christian" really just means "not Jewish", the term doesn't have any theological content.
Posted by: David | January 30, 2012 at 06:22 PM